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Challenges of Demographic Change
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Research Projects | Staff | Publications | Articles | Working Papers | Other Publications | Events
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Japan's population has the highest average age and the highest life expectancy of the world. At the same time, it has one of the lowest fertility rates, constantly falling short of 1.5 children per woman. The resultant “demographic time bomb” is the greatest challenge Japan faces today. Many problems arising from this situation have been identified, but up to now only few solutions. What is more, the different aspects of recent demographic change have mostly been treated separately rather than in context, thus impeding a proper understanding of the interrelations between the problem areas. What will be the consequences of the demographic development?
- Will depopulation turn out to be as drastic as projected?
- What effects will it have on existing mechanisms and levels of redistribution?
- What kinds of reform will the changing population structure set off in the fields of social, economic and regional policy?
- What are the needs and requirements of a hyperaged society, and how does it affect the relationship between society and government?
- What new industries and markets emerge to satisfy these demands?
- How does ageing impinge on intergenerational relations and communication patterns?
- What will be the effects of the growing cohorts of elderly people on election behaviour, political power, social stratification, cultural (re)production, and gender relations?
Demographic developments have propelled these and similar questions onto the agenda of several advanced countries. In many respects, Japan is leading the way. Where does it find its own answers, and where will it be forced to yield to structural constraints and reveal tendencies to conform or converge with other capitalist democracies? By means of individual projects (see below in more detail) and interdisciplinary co-operation, this DIJ research focus has already produced a range of results.
In addition to many research papers, two major works have been compiled by researchers of the DIJ: Trilingual Glossary of Demographic Terminology, and The Demographic Challenge. A Handbook about Japan, both published by Brill (Leiden). In addition to various workshops and symposia on the topic, the DIJ in June 2009 held a three-day international conference in Tokyo on the theme of Imploding Populations. Global and Local Challenges of Demographic Change presenting the present state of research on demographic change. This conference offered a platform for Japanese and European researchers from different disciplines to discuss ageing, population decline and the societal implications of these changes.
Research Projects 
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Completed Projects 
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Staff (DIJ) 
Previous Staff (DIJ)
Publications
(2009)
[ Godzik, Maren] Japanstudien 21.
Altern in Japan.
München:
iudicium Verlag.
370 p.
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(2007)
[ Backhaus, Peter] Japanstudien 19.
Familienangelegenheiten (Family affairs).
München:
iudicium Verlag.
284 p.
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(2008)
[ Coulmas, Florian; Conrad, Harald; Schad-Seifert, Annette; Vogt, Gabriele] The Demographic Challenge: A Handbook about Japan.
Leiden, Boston:
Brill.
1199 S.
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(2008)
[ Conrad, Harald; Heindorf, Viktoria; Waldenberger, Franz] Human Resource Management in Ageing Societies.
Palgrave Macmillan.
256 p.
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(2007)
Coulmas, Florian: Population Decline and Ageing in Japan - The Social Consequences .
London, New York:
Routledge.
176 p.
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(2007)
Koch, Matthias; Harmer, Claus; Coulmas, Florian: Trilingual Glossary of Demographic Terminology: English-Japanese-German, Japanese-English-German, German-Japanese-English. 『三か国語対照人口学用語集 英日独・日英独・独日英』 Dreisprachiges Glossar der Demographie: Englisch-Japanisch-Deutsch, Japanisch-Englisch-Deutsch, Deutsch-Japanisch-Englisch.
Leiden, Boston:
Brill.
x, 924 p.
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(2007)
Coulmas, Florian: Die Gesellschaft Japans. Arbeit, Familie und demographische Krise.
München:
C.H. Beck.
252 S.
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Articles
(2009)
[ Godzik, Maren] Altern in Japan. Herausforderungen und Chancen . In:
Japanstudien 21.
Altern in Japan.
München: iudicium Verlag. pp. 15-24.
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(2009)
[ Ando, Junko] Ältere Menschen und das Vormundschaftsrecht für Volljährige in Japan . In:
Japanstudien 21.
Altern in Japan.
München: iudicium Verlag. pp. 55-71.
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(2009)
[ Kohlbacher, Florian; Prieler, Michael; Hagiwara, Shigeru; Arima, Akie] Ältere Menschen in der japanischen Fernsehwerbung: Eine umfragebasierte und inhaltsanalytische Untersuchung . In:
Japanstudien 21.
Altern in Japan.
München: iudicium Verlag. pp. 197-222.
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(2008)
[ Godzik, Maren] Ruheständler als Lebenselixier? Ruhestandswanderung und lokale Neubelebungsstrategien am Beispiel von Atami und Ishigaki . In:
Japanstudien 20.
Regionalentwicklung und regionale Disparitäten (Regional Development and Regional Disparities).
München: iudicium Verlag. pp. 129-162.
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(2007)
[ Schad-Seifert, Annette] Japans Abschied von der Mittelschichtgesellschaft: Auflösung des Familienhaushalts oder Pluralisierung der Lebensformen? . In:
Japanstudien 19.
Familienangelegenheiten (Family affairs).
München: iudicium Verlag. pp. 105-128.
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(2006)
[ Vogt, Gabriele; Behaghel, Jeannette] Arbeitsmigration nach Japan: Rechtliche Rahmenbedingungen, politischer Diskurs (Labor migration to Japan: Legal framework, political discourse) . In:
Japanstudien 18.
Arbeitswelten in Japan (How Japan works).
München: iudicium Verlag. pp. 111-148.
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(2009)
[ Conrad, Harald] Die Beschäftigung älterer Menschen in Japan – Ursachen und Rahmenbedingungen einer hohen Alterserwerbsquote . In: Nova Acta Leopoldina NF 101, No. 365.
pp. 111-142.
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(2009)
[ Tanaka-Naji, Hiromi] Stated Desire versus Actual Practice: Reviewing the Literature on Low Fertility Rates in Contemporary Japanese Society . In: Japanese Studies.
Vol. 28, Issue 3. pp. 415-430.
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(2008)
[ Lützeler, Ralph] Regional Demographics . In: Coulmas, Florian; Conrad, Harald; Schad-Seifert, Annette; Vogt, Gabriele (Ed.)
The Demographic Challenge: A Handbook about Japan.
Leiden, Boston: Brill. pp. 61-79.
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(2008)
[ Koch, Matthias] History of Demography in Japan . In: Coulmas, Florian; Conrad, Harald; Schad-Seifert, Annette; Vogt, Gabriele (Ed.)
The Demographic Challenge: A Handbook about Japan.
Leiden, Boston: Brill. pp. 97-117.
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[ Backhaus, Peter] Coming to Terms with Age: Some Linguistic Consequences of Population Ageing . In: Coulmas, Florian; Conrad, Harald; Schad-Seifert, Annette; Vogt, Gabriele (Ed.)
The Demographic Challenge: A Handbook about Japan.
Leiden, Boston: Brill. pp. 455-471.
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(2008)
[ Elis, Volker] The Impact of the Ageing Society on Regional Economies . In: Coulmas, Florian; Conrad, Harald; Schad-Seifert, Annette; Vogt, Gabriele (Ed.)
The Demographic Challenge: A Handbook about Japan.
Leiden, Boston: Brill. pp. 861-877.
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(2008)
[ Conrad, Harald] Human Resource Management Practices and the Ageing Workforce . In: Coulmas, Florian; Conrad, Harald; Schad-Seifert, Annette; Vogt, Gabriele (Ed.)
The Demographic Challenge: A Handbook about Japan.
Leiden, Boston: Brill. pp. 979-997.
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(2008)
[ Moerke, Andreas] The Ageing Society and Reactions of the Automobile Industry - a Case Study . In: Coulmas, Florian; Conrad, Harald; Schad-Seifert, Annette; Vogt, Gabriele (Ed.)
The Demographic Challenge: A Handbook about Japan.
Leiden, Boston: Brill. pp. 1017-1032.
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(2008)
[ Vogt, Gabriele] Talking Politics: Demographic Variables and Policy Measures in Japan . In: Kohlbacher, Florian; Herstatt, Cornelius (Ed.)
The Silver Market Phenomenon. Business Opportunities in an Era of Demographic Change.
Heidelberg: Springer Verlag. pp. 17-29.
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(2008)
[ Prieler, Michael] Silver advertising: Elderly people in Japanese TV ads . In: Kohlbacher, Florian; Herstatt, Cornelius (Ed.)
The Silver Market Phenomenon. Business Opportunities in an Era of Demographic Change.
Heidelberg: Springer Verlag.
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(2008)
[ Vogt, Gabriele] Bevölkerungsentwicklung in Japan: Fokus Migration . In: Online-Handbuch Demografie.
Berlin: Berlin-Institut für Bevölkerung und Entwicklung.
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(2008)
[ Vogt, Gabriele] Trends in Japans Zuwanderungspolitik . In: Online-Handbuch Demografie.
Berlin: Berlin-Institut für Bevölkerung und Entwicklung.
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(2007)
[ Coulmas, Florian] Japan im demografischen Wandel: Kinderlos und ratlos . In: politische ökologie 104: Demografischer Wandel. Neue Spielräume für die Umweltpolitik.
München: oekom verlag. pp.27-28.
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(2007)
[ Vogt, Gabriele] Japans neue Migrationspolitik (Japan's New Migration Policy) . In: ZAR (Zeitschrift für Ausländerrecht und Ausländerpolitik).
27. Jg. 7/2007. pp. 238-243.
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(2007)
[ Vogt, Gabriele] "Guest Workers" for Japan? . In: Japan Focus. An Asia Pacific e-journal.
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(2007)
[ Vogt, Gabriele] Closed Doors, Open Doors, Doors Wide Shut? Migration Politics in Japan . In: Japan Aktuell. Journal of Current Japanese Affairs.
5/2007. pp. 3-30.
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(2007)
[ Vogt, Gabriele; Lersch, Philipp] Migrant Support Organizations in Japan - A Mixed-Method Approach . In: Pohl, Manfred; Wieczorek, Iris (Ed.) Japan 2007. Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft.
Berlin: Vereinigung für sozialwissenschaftliche Japanforschung. pp. 265-285.
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(2007)
[ Elis, Volker; Lützeler, Ralph] Der Demografische Wandel in Japan – Hintergründe und aktuelle Entwicklungen in der Sozial-, Beschäftigungs- und Regionalpolitik (Demographic Chnage in Japan - Its Background and Recent Developments in Social, Employment and Regional Policy) . In: Wirtschaftspolitische Blätter 54; 4.
pp. 705-720.
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(2005)
[ Conrad, Harald; Gerling, Vera] Der japanische „Silbermarkt“ - Marktchancen und Best Practices für deutsche Unternehmen . In: Haak, René; Bellmann, Klaus (Ed.)
Management in Japan – Herausforderungen und Erfolgsfaktoren für deutsche Unternehmen in einer dynamischen Umwelt (Management in Japan – Challenges and Success Factors for German Companies in a dynamic Environment).
Wiesbaden: Deutscher Universitätsverlag. p. 267-278.
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Working Papers
Books
(2008)
Holthus, Barbara; Germer, Andrea:
男女不平等とワーク・ライフ・バランス — ドイツにおける社会変化と少子化問題 (Gender Inequalities and Work-life Balance: Social Change and Low Fertility in Germany).
Tokyo:
Deutsches Institut für Japanstudien / Stiftung D.G.I.A..
36 p.
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(2007)
Vogt, Gabriele; Lersch, Philipp:
Migrant Support Organizations in Japan – A Survey.
Tokyo:
Deutsches Institut für Japanstudien / Stiftung D.G.I.A..
41 p.
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(2006)
Conrad, Harald: Turning Boomers into Boomerangs - Japanese Human Resource Management Practices and the Aging Workforce.
Tokyo:
Deutsches Institut für Japanstudien / Stiftung D.G.I.A..
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(2006)
Backhaus, Peter:
Care, control, and communication: Linguistic interaction between staff and residents in a Japanese nursing home for the elderly.
Tokyo:
Deutsches Institut für Japanstudien / Stiftung D.G.I.A..
24 p.
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(2006)
Vogt, Gabriele:
Facing the Challenge of Immigration? The State, Civil Society and Structures of Interdependence.
Tokyo:
Deutsches Institut für Japanstudien / Stiftung D.G.I.A..
41 p.
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(2006)
Schad-Seifert, Annette:
Coping with Low Fertility? Japan’s Government Measures for a Gender Equal Society.
Tokyo:
Deutsches Institut für Japanstudien / Stiftung D.G.I.A..
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(2006)
Vogt, Gabriele:
Doors wide shut? The current discourse on labor migration to Japan.
Tokyo:
Deutsches Institut für Japanstudien / Stiftung D.G.I.A..
27 p.
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(2006)
Schad-Seifert, Annette:
Japans kinderarme Gesellschaft – Die niedrige Geburtenrate und das Gender-Problem (Japan’s low fertility society – The falling birthrate and the problem of gender).
Tokyo:
Deutsches Institut für Japanstudien / Stiftung D.G.I.A..
40 p.
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(2005)
Moerke, Andreas; Kamann, Simon:
Herausforderungen des demographischen Wandels: Fallbeispiel Automobilindustrie.
Tokyo:
Deutsches Institut für Japanstudien / Stiftung D.G.I.A..
39 p.
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(2005)
Conrad, Harald; Heindorf, Viktoria: Farewell to the Seniority Principle? Aging Workforces and the Restructuring of Japanese Compensation Practices.
Tokyo:
Deutsches Institut für Japanstudien / Stiftung D.G.I.A..
20p.
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(2005)
Ducke, Isa; Moerke, Andreas:
Aging Population, Knowledge Spill-Over and Civil Society.
Tokyo:
Deutsches Institut für Japanstudien / Stiftung D.G.I.A..
46 p.
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Articles
(2009)
[ Kohlbacher, Florian; Prieler, Michael; Hagiwara, Shigeru; Arima, Akie] Gendered Portrayals of Older People in Japanese Television Advertising . In: Gendered Portrayals of Older People in Japanese Television Advertising.
Tokyo: Deutsches Institut für Japanstudien / Stiftung D.G.I.A.. 41 p..
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(2008)
[ Tanaka-Naji, Hiromi] Low fertility, the wish for children, and social inequalities in contemporary Japanese society . In: . In: Low fertility, the wish for children, and social inequalities in contemporary Japanese society.
Tokyo: Deutsches Institut für Japanstudien / Stiftung D.G.I.A..
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(2008)
[ Prieler, Michael; Kohlbacher, Florian; Hagiwara, Shigeru; Arima, Akie] The Representation of Older People in Japanese Television Advertising . In: The Representation of Older People in Japanese Television Advertising.
Tokyo: Deutsches Institut für Japanstudien / Stiftung D.G.I.A..
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Other Publications
Articles
(2010)
[ Kohlbacher, Florian; Gudorf, Pascal; Herstatt, Cornelius] Silver Business in Japan: Implications of Demographic Change for Human Resource Management and Marketing . In: Silver Business in Japan: Implications of Demographic Change for Human Resource Management and Marketing.
Deutsche Industrie- und Handelskammer in Japan.
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(2008)
[ Heinrich, Steffen; Kohlbacher, Florian] Keine Zukunft für den Salaryman? (No future for the salaryman?) . In: JapanMarkt, März 2008.
Tokyo: Deutsche Industrie- und Handelskammer in Japan. pp. 18-20.
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(2008)
[ Vogt, Gabriele] Gastarbeiter durch die Hintertür (Back doors for guest workers) . In: JapanMarkt, März 2008.
Tokyo: Deutsche Industrie- und Handelskammer in Japan. pp. 6-9.
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(2008)
[ Kohlbacher, Florian; Herstatt, Cornelius] Das Silbermarkt-Phänomen (The Silver Market Phenomenon) . In: JapanMarkt, September 2008.
Tokyo: Deutsche Industrie- und Handelskammer in Japan. pp. 8-11.
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(2008)
[ Kohlbacher, Florian; Gudorf, Pascal] Silbermarkt (noch) nicht im Fokus (Silver Market not Yet in the Focus) . In: JapanMarkt, September 2008.
Tokyo: Deutsche Industrie- und Handelskammer in Japan. pp. 12-13.
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(2008)
[ Vogt, Gabriele] Drohender Notstand im Land der 100-Jährigen. Wie kann Japan seinen Bedarf an Pflegekräften decken? . In: demos. Demografie - Entwicklung - Migration Online-Service.
Ausgabe 57, 02. Oktober 2008. Berlin: Berlin-Institut für Bevölkerung und Entwicklung.
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Events
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